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When the house wins, the post-fee proceeds split across stakers pro-rata by reward mode weights. Each staker chooses the form of their own share with setRewardMode: Switching modes (setRewardMode) accrues everything earned so far under the old mode, then redirects future rewards. Already-credited claimableChance stays claimable.

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How the CHANCE leg is priced

The reward buy has no caller to set slippage, so the pool derives its own floor from on-chain reference pricing (spot vs the block-open checkpoint, less fees and a slippage tolerance). If a buy can’t clear the floor — thin liquidity, price spike — it soft-fails to USD: your share accrues as USDG instead of reverting the settle. You never lose the reward; you occasionally get it in the other currency.

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Claimed CHANCE and the transfer lock

CHANCE withdrawn via claimStakerChance goes to your wallet through the distributor path and remains subject to the transfer lock — holdable and sellable via the V4 router, not freely transferable while the lock is on.
Staker claimableChance is not the same thing as a player claiming a winning bet as CHANCE. Player wins buy CHANCE at claim time and deliver straight to the wallet — they never touch the staker inventory. See Claiming.